Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000175 0.000195 0.000215 0.000239 0.000265 0.000295 0.000329
2025-05-04 0.000139 0.000166 0.000198 0.000237 0.000287 0.000346 0.000422
2025-05-11 0.000118 0.000149 0.000188 0.000240 0.000308 0.000396 0.000520
2025-05-18 0.000103 0.000135 0.000178 0.000238 0.000322 0.000437 0.000608
2025-05-25 0.000091 0.000124 0.000169 0.000236 0.000334 0.000475 0.000697
2025-06-01 0.000082 0.000115 0.000161 0.000233 0.000343 0.000507 0.000782
2025-06-08 0.000072 0.000104 0.000151 0.000225 0.000342 0.000526 0.000845
2025-06-15 0.000067 0.000100 0.000148 0.000228 0.000358 0.000571 0.000959
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000096 0.000147 0.000232 0.000378 0.000624 0.001093
2025-06-29 0.000058 0.000090 0.000140 0.000227 0.000380 0.000648 0.001178
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000083 0.000131 0.000217 0.000373 0.000653 0.001227
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000080 0.000129 0.000218 0.000384 0.000694 0.001353
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000077 0.000128 0.000223 0.000404 0.000755 0.001535
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000074 0.000124 0.000222 0.000414 0.000798 0.001688
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000071 0.000122 0.000224 0.000429 0.000856 0.001886
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000068 0.000119 0.000222 0.000438 0.000899 0.002058
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000065 0.000115 0.000220 0.000446 0.000943 0.002241
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000217 0.000450 0.000980 0.002413
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000057 0.000106 0.000210 0.000444 0.000989 0.002516
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000212 0.000460 0.001057 0.002793
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000217 0.000482 0.001140 0.003134
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000481 0.001167 0.003311
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000049 0.000095 0.000203 0.000468 0.001158 0.003379